Welcome folks! If you are a subscriber, you know that I quit updating my blog about the Air Force Academy three years ago. I am temporarily resurrecting my blog to keep friends, family, and the curious updated on my adventures with Hurricane Matthew.
I claim to be a hurricane magnet, after close experiences with hurricanes Andrew, Irene, and Hugo. More than that, I have over a decade of training in meteorology as an Air Force pilot, back in the days when we had to make our own forecasts based on various broad weather maps. I also have Bachelor and Masters of Science degrees in Operations Research — the design and analysis of computer models to study real life problems. If you want to know how I make my decisions, you can read a previous post on how to interpret computer models at this link. Additionally, I looked at the “Spaghetti Models” which are simulations based on variants of many variables. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) no longer posts the graphic results of its simulations, but you can find them at the Fox Hurricane Center website and on The Weather Channel. Because I’ve been following hurricanes for decades, I have favorite simulation models (GFDL and BAMS) which I pay closer attention to than the aggregate models. I made my decision to evacuate six days before officials called for it, and even pulled my son out of school when I thought his district delayed their closure announcements irresponsibly late.
After three days of pre-positioning aluminum panels and closing wooden shutters that hadn’t been budged in nine years, we left at rush hour on Wednesday, Oct 4. I used my back-road escape route to Tallahassee to avoid traffic from evacuees streaming out of Palm Coast, Fort Lauderdale, and Jacksonville. If you haven’t left yet, here is my “Secret Route”: FL Hwy 16 West to Starke, then FL Hwy 100 West past Lake City to I-10. Then I-10 to parts further west.
My next post will be about where we are at and where I go from here.